Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000193 0.000215 0.000240 0.000268 0.000299 0.000333 0.000373
2025-01-05 0.000157 0.000187 0.000221 0.000264 0.000314 0.000372 0.000444
2025-01-12 0.000133 0.000168 0.000209 0.000263 0.000331 0.000413 0.000522
2025-01-19 0.000116 0.000153 0.000200 0.000264 0.000349 0.000457 0.000607
2025-01-26 0.000100 0.000139 0.000189 0.000261 0.000360 0.000492 0.000683
2025-02-02 0.000093 0.000134 0.000190 0.000272 0.000391 0.000556 0.000803
2025-02-09 0.000085 0.000126 0.000186 0.000276 0.000411 0.000606 0.000910
2025-02-16 0.000077 0.000120 0.000181 0.000279 0.000430 0.000655 0.001018
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000112 0.000175 0.000278 0.000443 0.000695 0.001117
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000104 0.000167 0.000273 0.000448 0.000724 0.001199
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000098 0.000162 0.000272 0.000458 0.000762 0.001298
2025-03-16 0.000054 0.000093 0.000158 0.000272 0.000471 0.000805 0.001410
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000088 0.000154 0.000273 0.000486 0.000852 0.001537
2025-03-30 0.000045 0.000082 0.000147 0.000269 0.000493 0.000888 0.001648
2025-04-06 0.000042 0.000078 0.000144 0.000269 0.000506 0.000936 0.001785
2025-04-13 0.000039 0.000075 0.000141 0.000271 0.000522 0.000991 0.001942
2025-04-20 0.000036 0.000071 0.000136 0.000267 0.000528 0.001028 0.002066
2025-04-27 0.000035 0.000070 0.000138 0.000279 0.000565 0.001126 0.002321
2025-05-04 0.000033 0.000068 0.000137 0.000283 0.000587 0.001197 0.002527
2025-05-11 0.000031 0.000066 0.000135 0.000286 0.000607 0.001265 0.002735
2025-05-18 0.000029 0.000063 0.000132 0.000285 0.000619 0.001318 0.002915
2025-05-25 0.000027 0.000059 0.000127 0.000280 0.000621 0.001350 0.003054
2025-06-01 0.000025 0.000057 0.000124 0.000279 0.000631 0.001400 0.003234